Often times in the early stages of Tropical CycloGenesis. When you have Vigorous convection like this that is not vertically aligned with the center. We can get what is called a center reformation under the deep convection. If this happens (it very well could) then expect a slight shift West in track. | Big Dan The Weather Man

14K views · 120 reactions | Say it ain’t Snow!! ❄️ Since Melissa’s Tropical Airmass will not be getting involved in the cyclogenesis along the coast next week, that will make it much easier for dynamic cooling to produce snow in the high elevations of West Virginia, Pennsylvania, and New York. It is October, so there’s so guarantee yet on snow, but there are models hinting at it. #WVwx #PAwx #NYwx | Mark Margavage's Weather Discussion Page | Facebook

🌪️ Intense Tropical Cyclone Gezani: Madagascar An intense tropical cyclone is rapidly approaching Madagascar, with a direct hit likely near Toamasina. This is a life-threatening situation. 🚨 Red alert in Analanjirofo and Atsinanana 📍 Status (Tue, 10 Feb | 09:00 EAT) • ~186 km east of Toamasina • Winds 160 km/h, gusts 225 km/h • Moving west at 16 km/h • Landfall expected around 18:00 EAT ⚠️ Main risks 💨 Destructive winds up to 150 km/h 🌧️ Heavy rain 100–150 mm → flooding & landslides 🌊 Wave

The current tropical outlook does not indicate any tropical cyclone formation in the Gulf of Mexico around July 20th. In fact, the latest Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook shows no tropical development expected in the next 7 days. However, the Global Tropics Hazards Outlook suggests a slight risk of tropical cyclogenesis over the northern Gulf Coast of the US during week 2, which includes around July 20th. For the most accurate tropical weather outlooks, visit our interactive web