After a record fall, when nearly the entire United States experienced drought—unprecedented in US Drought Monitor history—water managers and planners nationwide are nervously hoping for a wet winter, ...

In a time of increasing climate variability, researchers Pengfei Xue and Miraj B. Kayastha have developed regional Earth system models to better understand and predict extreme weather and ...

This graphical abstract summarizes the evaluation of CMIP6 historical simulations in representing multiyear El Niño events and their impacts on spring precipitation over southern China. While most ...

Have you ever stopped to wonder how forecasters can predict the weather days in advance, or how scientists figure out how the climate might evolve under different policies? All of this plays out on ...

Tiny marine plankton that build calcium carbonate shells play an outsized role in regulating Earth’s climate, quietly pulling carbon from the atmosphere and helping lock it away in the deep ocean. New ...

Current global climate models (GCMs) support with high confidence the view that rising greenhouse gases and other anthropogenic forcings account for nearly all observed global surface warming—slightly ...

Fifty years into the project of modeling Earth’s future climate, we still don’t really know what’s coming. Some places are warming with more ferocity than expected. Extreme events are taking ...

For over five decades, scientists have been striving to predict Earth's future climate. The progress has been remarkable, yet the task is daunting. As global warming accelerates, our ability to ...

Climate change is already shaping our well-being. It affects mental health, spreads infectious diseases, disrupts work, damages food supplies and forces families to leave their homes because of ...